Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

[Reddiered07]

disagree completely

Don't disagree..he's an ircc guy in disguise here

 

[jaggeo]

Hmmm right, no harm but I already got him registered and chose immigration as purpose of taking the test It reminds me of his otherwise perfect IELTS Academic score 9, 8.5, 8, (for Australia) but with 7.5 in writing. He couldn't claim 20 points due to one 7.5. Let's hope this time he doesn't even have to take the test, and today's draw brings us the good news.

inshalla

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Don't disagree..he's an ircc guy in disguise here

then lets find him and ask him to motivate CIC to come up with a back to back draw with 5000 ITA next week too. There is no chance I am getting ITA this year otherwise.

 

[Reddiered07]

then lets find him and ask him to motivate CIC to come up with a back to back draw with 5000 ITA next week too. There is no chance I am getting ITA this year otherwise.

I guess he has already done that..that's why 438

 

[akk82]

Please share link to the draw results page

 

[Ronja5200]

Please share link to the draw results page

There you go.

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...ntry/become-candidate/rounds-invitations.html

 

[gg_posange]

So we're not seeing a 435 in the next couple of months?

 

[akk82]

So we're not seeing a 435 in the next couple of months?

I expect that to be in July

 

[lightning_crashes]

So we're not seeing a 435 in the next couple of months?

not likely - that would be a very very best case
we will see:
6 Jun = 439 Cutoff 12/17
20 Jun = 439 Cutoff 6/18
4 Jul = 438 Cutoff 12/17
18 Jul = 438 Cutoff 6/18
1 Aug = 437 Cutoff 12/17
15 Aug = 437 Cutoff 6/18
... see the pattern? this is if things stay stable...assuming:
3,500 invitations - not going up or down - mid case
no curve ball of a 3 week draw
intake of 441+ same as we have seen in last few months

 

[AroraGaurav1]

Hello All,

Was very hopeful but stuck at 437 since March'18. After reviewing current CRS trends from March through May, re-appeared for, and maxed out IELTS on the 24th of May'18 with CLB10.
As of today morning, revised CRS is 443. I have updated my profile and know that it can take upto 24 hrs to reflect the change in score.
Keeping fingers crossed and hoping for a draw today!!
Good luck to all in the 430's and lets hope we get to see 439 today...

 

[gg_posange]

not likely - that would be a very very best case
we will see:
6 Jun = 439 Cutoff 12/17
20 Jun = 439 Cutoff 6/18
4 Jul = 438 Cutoff 12/17
18 Jul = 438 Cutoff 6/18
1 Aug = 437 Cutoff 12/17
15 Aug = 437 Cutoff 6/18
... see the pattern? this is if things stay stable...assuming:
3,500 invitations - not going up or down - mid case
no curve ball of a 3 week draw
intake of 441+ same as we have seen in last few months

I think it could take more than two draws to clear out 438

 

[lightning_crashes]

I think it could take more than two draws to clear out 438

yep possibly - but then the 437 could be faster or one of the other numbers --- will even out over a few draws

 

[Mayur_M]

not likely - that would be a very very best case
we will see:
6 Jun = 439 Cutoff 12/17
20 Jun = 439 Cutoff 6/18
4 Jul = 438 Cutoff 12/17
18 Jul = 438 Cutoff 6/18
1 Aug = 437 Cutoff 12/17
15 Aug = 437 Cutoff 6/18
... see the pattern? this is if things stay stable...assuming:
3,500 invitations - not going up or down - mid case
no curve ball of a 3 week draw
intake of 441+ same as we have seen in last few months

Anything below 440 would require 2 or more draws to clear. As calculation would change from 441 & above to 440 & above added each day and so on...

 

[special3220]

Draw Prediction in case of a draw happening today

No of ITAS : 3750
Lowest CRS : 439
Cut off : Jan-Feb, 2018

 

[lightning_crashes]

Anything below 440 would require 2 or more draws to clear. As calculation would change from 441 & above to 440 & above added each day and so on...

yes valid point! but im hoping the no. of ppl applying are reducing as the main wave of the high number of people are clearing out.
also the number of ppl applying will reduce after seeing the trend of the last few months. there is a time coming when not as many ppl will apply as what we saw after the dip of 413 last year - that influx will wane down which will help the scores to come 'a little bit' down again - not to 413 EVER but maybe till 430 in the next 6-8 months.