Hi guys,
After doing a deep dive in statistical analysis on express entry profiles added to the pool on a daily basis, I have concluded the following:
On a daily basis, approximately 200 to 250 profile get added to the pool with scores above 441
If you multiply that by 14 days (2 weeks) that is close almost 3,500 applications getting added to the pool with scores above 441 in between each draw. The proof of this can be easily summarized without going to too much detail.
On May 23, 2018, the express entry draw picked up all candidates with score 440 and more. That means all profiles above 441 were cleared up by that time.
NOW, just see what happened the very next day:
Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
441-450 56
228 applications were added to the pool above 441 CRS the very next day. (Now take that as an average and multiply by 14). The pool of candidates with scores above 441 keeps filling up again and again and so cut off is not coming down. If this trend continues, say good bye to scores going below 440.