Ray of Hope - 129th Draw

[Ilyushin76]

with 468-471 we could use a b2b draw to get the scores below 460

 

[journey21]

Congrats to Liberals!

 

[journey21]

But I think scores will still be high

 

[Woqi114]

with 468-471 we could use a b2b draw to get the scores below 460

If there's a draw on 30th Oct after tomorrow's draw, we might see a 463 to 464 in that draw and gradual decrease afterwards before another b2b draw around Christmas which would surely dip the score to 450s

 

[WunderCat]

I wish there would be a real time count of people who applied. So we would have to guess every 2 weeks. It would make it more feasible and convenient, especially for people who doesn't know if they have to boost their points or not.

 

[Woqi114]

I wish there would be a real time count of people who applied. So we would have to guess every 2 weeks. It would make it more feasible and convenient, especially for people who doesn't know if they have to boost their points or not.

Scores upto 450 were easier to predict since there's a breakdown of each slab (for e.g. 440 to 450) in that range. Going forward 450, there's no breakdown of each slab uptill 600 which makes it quite harder to predict even for seasoned EE gurus since nobody knows in which range most profiles are concentrated.

Take for example the draw of Sep 4, everyone was predicting it to be around 457 to 459 but it came out with a jump of 6 points to close at 463. Since nobody was sure of the profiles in that range, everyone guessed based on the trend.

 

[Woqi114]

CanPR app is also predicting a draw for tomorrow. Let's see.....

 

[WunderCat]

Scores upto 450 were easier to predict since there's a breakdown of each slab (for e.g. 440 to 450) in that range. Going forward 450, there's no breakdown of each slab uptill 600 which makes it quite harder to predict even for seasoned EE gurus since nobody knows in which range most profiles are concentrated.

Take for example the draw of Sep 4, everyone was predicting it to be around 457 to 459 but it came out with a jump of 6 points to close at 463. Since nobody was sure of the profiles in that range, everyone guessed based on the trend.

Well yeah, that kind of sucks too. That they put everyone(450-600) under the same tab.

 

[journey21]

471

 

[journey21]

Guestimation

 

[Rkd@321]

But I think scores will still be high

That is true for tomorrow's draw (if there is one) but not in the next couple of draws I suppose. I believe if there will be b2b draws every 2 weeks from now on, there will certainly be a dip in the CRS scores. I think you also meant the same. Right?

 

[dgnbach]

Liberals proposed 350K immigrants per year while that of NDP is 370K in their election manifesto.

Can we see 350K+370K = 720K immigrants each year now in case of a coalition?

I would be heavily against this. The reason why we are all eager to immigrate to this country because of the environment, great education and healthcare system, as well as peace of mind. Imagine if you get double the immigrants every year, it means that the standards to immigrate will become extremely low, and some people who didn't meet the standard before in this country can also come. This will then create chaos and this country will be degraded by a whole lot. By that time I believe you would wish they keep it at 350k a year

 

[leo.rpa]

That is true for tomorrow's draw (if there is one) but not in the next couple of draws I suppose. I believe if there will be b2b draws every 2 weeks from now on, there will certainly be a dip in the CRS scores. I think you also meant the same. Right?

Sorry, but what is B2B draw?

 

[dgnbach]

Sorry, but what is B2B draw?

Back 2 back draw, meaning 1 draw every week

 

[alexross]

That is true for tomorrow's draw (if there is one) but not in the next couple of draws I suppose. I believe if there will be b2b draws every 2 weeks from now on, there will certainly be a dip in the CRS scores. I think you also meant the same. Right?

I am hopeful that there will be back to back draws, but I am doubtful that it will happen. If you see the draw size/frequency pattern from 2015 one thing becomes easy to observe: A progressively greater consistency in both. Sudden spikes in frequency and size of ITAs have been slowly ironed out. Hence we may see one back to back draw or a steady increase in draw size. But to expect a bunch of back to back draws may be unrealistic