Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

[Thay]

I expect major drop in CRS as there will be fewer people in the pool and more than 3500 ITA's this time.

 

[lightning_crashes]

WoW such great news to be on the new thread today

Let this good news be the turning point and now hope the score reduces by a point or two on each draw till Oct!

Let everyone get an ITA. This wait really deserves it!

 

[SumH12]

I expect major drop in CRS as there will be fewer people in the pool and more than 3500 ITA's this time.

I just finished doing some quick and simple calculations and the candidates CRS 441+ decreased -18.8%, a considerable decrease.

This percentages are calculated in the following manner:

Pool Date Candidates CRS 441+ (1 day estimate)
May 24 228
May 16 281 (= 1965/ 7 days passed since May 9- 89th draw date )

Variation= (228-281)/281= - 18.8%

 

[Thay]

Just got my ITA!!!! thanks Everyone here on the forum for your advices and encouraging words in each ROH!!!

 

[Thay]

I just finished doing some quick and simple calculations and the candidates CRS 441+ decreased -18.8%, a considerable decrease.

This percentages are calculated in the following manner:

Pool Date Candidates CRS 441+ (1 day estimate)
May 24 228
May 16 281 (= 1965/ 7 days passed since May 9- 89th draw date )

Variation= (228-281)/281= - 18.8%

That brings hope to people below 440

 

[SumH12]

Just got my ITA!!!! thanks Everyone here on the forum for your advices and encouraging words in each ROH!!!

Congrats!! Did you get it with Nominees draw or Trades draw?

Good luck with your process after ITA! I hope that it goes fast.

 

[Thay]

Congrats!! Did you get it with Nominees draw or Trades draw?

Good luck with your process after ITA! I hope that it goes fast.

Thanks!! FST stream it is! i am at ~400CRS

 

[Tech_girl123]

any calculations for next draw ? !

 

[syntaxrage]

well i hope the score is around 437-438 !

Me too

 

[lightning_crashes]

I just finished doing some quick and simple calculations and the candidates CRS 441+ decreased -18.8%, a considerable decrease.

This percentages are calculated in the following manner:

Pool Date Candidates CRS 441+ (1 day estimate)
May 24 228
May 16 281 (= 1965/ 7 days passed since May 9- 89th draw date )

Variation= (228-281)/281= - 18.8%

Can you pls extend this till March? I bet it has been going down constantly since March

 

[bahariesmoon88]

The next draw cut off score maybe 439/438 based on the predictions I’m seeing and from today’s draw. I really wonder if summer end it will get down to lower 430s.

 

[syntaxrage]

Why not 437? lol. I am thinking that higher number of applicants within 431-440s have a crs score 435 and up. So I am hoping that the next draw would be from 435-437.That would knock down the 7k5 applicants in (431-440) range. Hopefully they would start targeting the from 432s. Lets just hope back to back draws comes.

 

[Tech_girl123]

well... someone pls tag abhishek.. i dont know his id ! his predictions are mostly right !

 

[bahariesmoon88]

@abhishek_89 how are you? are you able to give us a prediction for next week based on the draw today?

 

[abhishek_89]

@abhishek_89 how are you? are you able to give us a prediction for next week based on the draw today?

Today's draw has helped remove 200 candidates from the pool who would have been eligible for receiving ITA if the draw had happened next Wednesday. Only the PNP draw had an impact as the majority of the FST folks would anyways have lower CRS scores.

I am predicting CRS 439 cut off if the next draw happens on Jun 6th with 3500 ITAs.