Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[stevevutien]

guys are with 430s the #92 and onward would be our chances

 

[noname7]

guys are with 430s the #92 and onward would be our chances

What do you mean? I am at 435 and I see very little hope for the score to come down to that. Even a point a month would make it impossible to reach that this year and who knows what happens next year.

 

[Swordwater]

What do you mean? I am at 435 and I see very little hope for the score to come down to that. Even a point a month would make it impossible to reach that this year and who knows what happens next year.

Can't you try increasing your CRS score?

 

[noname7]

Can't you try increasing your CRS score?

Can't do! Was at 440, now at 435. Maxed out on IELTS. Any other option would take months if not years.

 

[stevevutien]

What do you mean? I am at 435 and I see very little hope for the score to come down to that. Even a point a month would make it impossible to reach that this year and who knows what happens next year.

some rough calculation:

May 4th
441-450 992
May 16th
441-450 909
May 24th
441-450 56

And
May 24th
431-440 7,515

Suppose, we have 1k > 440 adding per week.

Next round June 6th 3k5 got ITAs.
So we have 3500 - 56+1k = 2k4 people from 431-440 will get ITAs

I suppose in the range 431-440 around 70% people are having CRS > 435. ~ 3k7.

So 2k4 people > 435 will get ITA. ( I suppose 30% with top scores 437-440 and 40% 435-437.

I would say the next cut-off on june 6th (if happens) would be around 437(max).

After the June 6th. Nobody knows...but hopefully there would be back-to-back draws.

Anyway, try to increase your CRS to top (30%) of 430s (437-440) your chance will be significant higher.

 

[SumH12]

Yes there are couple of positive, first back to back would be the biggest takeaway from this. Maybe We will see some more back to back in coming months, at least two or three back to back can do wonders for people in the mid to high 430 region.

In addition, the number increased from last year. On May 26, 2017... they invited 400 Federal Skilled Trades Program and 143 Provincial Nominees... today they issued 500 and 200, respectively.

There are favorable signs. Although there are only 200 nominees candidates (plus others more under Trades) that are deduced, at least it means availability of room for some candidates that other way wouldn't be benefited for next draw.

 

[Tech_girl123]

Hi Guys there was a draw today for few categories ;



Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – May 30, 2018

Programs specified:

• Federal Skilled Trades Program
• Provincial Nominee Program

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Candidates invited under the Federal Skilled Trades Program
Number of invitations issued: 500

Rank required to be invited to apply: 500th or above

Date and time of round: May 30, 2018 at 14:52:06 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 288

Tie-breaking rule: June 7, 2017 at 20:11:13 UTC

Candidates invited under the Provincial Nominee Program
Number of invitations issued: 200

Rank required to be invited to apply: 200th or above

Date and time of round: May 30, 2018 at 14:52:06 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 902

Tie-breaking rule: March 23, 2018 at 05:38:02 UTC

• If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.

See previous rounds

 

[iterp89]

I got my invitation with a score of 478. Preparing the support documentation by getting police clearance from FBI and Indian Embassy.

 

[Tech_girl123]

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
401-450 26,511
441-450 56
431-440 7,515
421-430 5,831
411-420 6,407
401-410 6,702
351-400 33,510
391-400 6,102
381-390 6,906
371-380 6,922
361-370 6,801
351-360 6,779
301-350 19,530
0-300 3,388
Total 83,111

 

[SumH12]

I got my invitation with a score of 478. Preparing the support documentation by getting police clearance from FBI and Indian Embassy.

Congrats!

Did you get it under Trades Program after today´s draw?

 

[SumH12]

btw... who will be creating ray of hope 93?

(91 was Nominees and 92 Trades)

Edited: Sorry, I had not realized it was already created.

https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-92nd-draw.563060/

@AlliBatista I think it is "93" because last year, they separated in two different numbers the draws from May 26.

 

[iterp89]

Congrats!

Did you get it under Trades Program after today´s draw?

Thanks. Its for federal skilled worker.

 

[syntaxrage]

What do you mean? I am at 435 and I see very little hope for the score to come down to that. Even a point a month would make it impossible to reach that this year and who knows what happens next year.

Man have hope!!!!n I am at 437 since Nov 2017. I haven't done IELTS before , only CELPIP, which I can find very weird in their markings. I have done CELPIP twice, always good, but can't get to 9 in writing. If on June 6th the crs doesn't drop to my scale; I would do the IELTS on June 30th.

 

[Jimmysuperfly]

I think we should be moving to ROH #92 as the 91st draw has being drawn.

 

[syntaxrage]

some rough calculation:

May 4th
441-450 992
May 16th
441-450 909
May 24th
441-450 56

And
May 24th
431-440 7,515

Suppose, we have 1k > 440 adding per week.

Next round June 6th 3k5 got ITAs.
So we have 3500 - 56+1k = 2k4 people from 431-440 will get ITAs

I suppose in the range 431-440 around 70% people are having CRS > 435. ~ 3k7.

So 2k4 people > 435 will get ITA. ( I suppose 30% with top scores 437-440 and 40% 435-437.

I would say the next cut-off on june 6th (if happens) would be around 437(max).

After the June 6th. Nobody knows...but hopefully there would be back-to-back draws.

Anyway, try to increase your CRS to top (30%) of 430s (437-440) your chance will be significant higher.

Now that is Hope we all need.