Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[noname7]

How does this draw help us? Basically the competition is less by only 200 right?otherwise nothing changes right? Or am i missing anything here?

You are correct. The only difference today's draw makes is to remove those 200 PNP people out of the next week's regular draw. So, the cut-off next week won't suddenly drop by 3 to 5 points. It might be +/- 2 points last draw.

 

[AlliBatista]

What about the 500 from FST?

 

[Reddiered07]

What about the 500 from FST?

I have no idea about how many people over 440 might have been selected..as the cut-off is low I don't expect many over 440!

 

[frew]

You should all remember that these CRS distribution results are as of May 24th. One thing you should note is that IELTS results were released on May 25th and we are going to see the real impact of the IELTS results in the upcoming draw... it would have given us a better picture if they publish the dustribution after May 25th... but, again, CIC is becoming smart not to disclose to us too much info and give a better picture for those doing the next draw predictions... i am loving this Game Theory strategies.

 

[special3220]

a Draw just happened guys. Not for FSW though.

Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – May 30, 2018

Programs specified:

• Federal Skilled Trades Program
• Provincial Nominee Program

Candidates invited under the Federal Skilled Trades Program
Number of invitations issued: 500

Rank required to be invited to apply: 500th or above

Date and time of round: May 30, 2018 at 14:52:06 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 288

Tie-breaking rule: June 7, 2017 at 20:11:13 UTC

Candidates invited under the Provincial Nominee Program
Number of invitations issued: 200

Rank required to be invited to apply: 200th or above

Date and time of round: May 30, 2018 at 14:52:06 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 902

Tie-breaking rule: March 23, 2018 at 05:38:02 UTC

• If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.

See previous rounds

 

[Reddiered07]

You are correct. The only difference today's draw makes is to remove those 200 PNP people out of the next week's regular draw. So, the cut-off next week won't suddenly drop by 3 to 5 points. It might be +/- 2 points last draw.

Bro why do you scare people by putting "+/-" instead of just putting "-"?? Moreover you say there would be drop

 

[denzrambo]

adding to the above.let the numbers give you hope


Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
401-450 26,511
441-450 56
431-440 7,515
421-430 5,831
411-420 6,407
401-410 6,702
351-400 33,510
391-400 6,102

 

[Reddiered07]

adding to the above.let the numbers give you hope


Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 24, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 45
451-600 127
401-450 26,511
441-450 56
431-440 7,515
421-430 5,831
411-420 6,407
401-410 6,702
351-400 33,510
391-400 6,102

what hope are we getting by looking at these numbers? 228 entrants in a day?

 

[denzrambo]

what hope are we getting by looking at these numbers? 228 entrants in a day?

that we can see that CIC will start carving out from 435 on wards or so soon

 

[Reddiered07]

that we can see that CIC will start carving out from 435 on wards or so soon

How?

 

[denzrambo]

How?

Frankly am not here to speculate rather hoping it turns out the way people sitting in 435 odd or so to feel that they numbers above them should be cleared soon etc with lower number above 435 even though thats a days data from last draw.If the inflow of people above 440 decreases score will come down

 

[frew]

One thing i noticed about today's draw is that the CRS distribution can give us some indication about how many people are entering the pool every day. In particular for the section from 400-440.
Added Daily CRS
20 431-440
84 421-430
63 411-420
74 401-410
As i said it previously, this can be considered the lowest case scenario as IELTS results were released after the day the distribution is referring (May 24th) the daily additions could be higher than this.

 

[lightning_crashes]

Congratulations to those who got in today!

This is good news only for one reason

CIC is starting to move their rear end and exhibiting a behavior similar to last year

Anything similar to last year I'll take happily

So it's a real Ray of hope and soon CIC will open up and quit this scrooge McDuck phase! Sorry to the young guys who don't know who scrooge is lol

 

[special3220]

Congratulations to those who got in today!

This is good news only for one reason

CIC is starting to move their rear end and exhibiting a behavior similar to last year

Anything similar to last year I'll take happily

So it's a real Ray of hope and soon CIC will open up and quit this scrooge McDuck phase! Sorry to the young guys who don't know who scrooge is lol

Yes there are couple of positive, first back to back would be the biggest takeaway from this. Maybe We will see some more back to back in coming months, at least two or three back to back can do wonders for people in the mid to high 430 region.

 

[lightning_crashes]

Yes there are couple of positive, first back to back would be the biggest takeaway from this. Maybe We will see some more back to back in coming months, at least two or three back to back can do wonders for people in the mid to high 430 region.

Yep exactly. The pattern hopefully matches last year and yes a back to back draw will cut through the 430s and clear so many ppl!