Ray of hope 59th draw!

[robinsonjoel]

I might die :-\

 

[SaintNishant]

I might die :-\

hang on .. there are many I read have not got the ITA emails .. I am waiting as well with 427 points ..

 

[robinsonjoel]

I am afraid I could be neglected as my CRS is close to the cutoff, rather than others who are comfortably higher. Looks likes OINP also issued some NOIs. Read two posts on this forum of NOIs being received.

 

[arrayofhope]

Congratulations !! you got the email now or saw it now ?

I just saw it now. I ptibably got it ealier, but i only get 400mb of data on my Canadian phone, so i dont turn data on, so i just got home and turned wifi on and saw the email!!

 

[ajkidwai]

I got NOI as well as ITA....Lucky Wednesday

 

[SaintNishant]

.. in the meantime its so interesting to read through the post on this forum of what were people thinking/writing/predicting on 11th and 12th until the surprise draw took place .. read through pages 25th to 32nd ..

PS: Trying to be +ve as still waiting for email/notification ..

 

[Confused_oldman]

Hopefully, cic doesnt change nmber of ITAs or draw periods, to make scores go up, just because scores are falling to unprecedented levels.
I have been following draws for the last 3 or 4 draws and cant believe the drop. Imagine those who have been following since 2016. From high 400's to 423.
This point level makes a wide range of people eligible. A 30 year old with a basic degree and 3 years experience with CLB9 would now be eligible.
Earlier, such people could only dream of an ITA if they receive PNP.

 

[robinsonjoel]

Remember this prediction which I made 5 days back! I was spot on with the CRS cut off of 423! ITA count is 140 more than my prediction! Congrats guys

you my friend are a beast

 

[robinsonjoel]

Okay, looks like it is taking forever to receive an ITA ???

 

[elzsb]

Remember this prediction which I made 5 days back! I was spot on with the CRS cut off of 423! ITA count is 140 more than my prediction! Congrats guys

Any predictions for the next draw??!

 

[manvir.singh.parmar]

hang on .. there are many I read have not got the ITA emails .. I am waiting as well with 427 points ..

I am waiting too....

 

[limestone]

Wooooohoooo! 423 !!! Again with two consecutive weeks with a draw. And the distribution data on 7th April, looks promising .

CONGRATULATIONS!! to those who made it, and good luck with the rest of your applications!


Coming back to where CRS is going, so long for the attitude with "ohh Canada needs people with higher CRS, because my CRS is higher than your yours :-*"

I was expecting CRS to reach to 400s by now, but it looks like, as the pts go down some more ppl are joining in. I was expecting 423'ish on draw 57. But nevertheless, it is going down. which I believe by CIC design.

Best Regards friends A really happy day for us ;D

I see the conflict you are pointing, but then "in theory" they can reduce PNP CRS requirements accordingly.

I think the fall is not happening by chance, it is falling by CIC design. When they stopped giving 600 pts for jobs (and convert to 50 and 200), they cut low CRS candidates ability to leapfrog with job arrangement pts. I think this applies mostly to inland applications, since outland job arrangement practically low-low chances.

Please check draw #48 cutoff 786!!! Meaning someone with 186 CRS+600 pts achieved ITA. 186!? (even if you add current 200pts still 386pts)

To increase the influx of candidates with higher HC pts, I believe CIC designed point values, in a way to reach 400s in cutoffs. May be even slightly lower. In this points situation, like I said above, PNP can still function, if they reduce PNP CRS requirements accordingly. They will help ppl with CRS 300 to 400.

I personally think, the economic benefit gained from a candidate, with 300+ has a lot of HC value compared to 186. Hence, CIC is executing this.

BR

Well, above is what I posted some weeks ago. My estimates for -then- upcoming rounds.

- As long as no PNP points are discharged. And invites contnue ~3500
- Based on candidate CRS distribution is more less same in July 2016 report (https://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cerc.ca/resource/resmgr/government_relations/Express_entry_national_stake.pdf)
- And assuming number of candidates in pool was ~20,000 before draw 55.

round 55 high 430s - It was 441
round 56 low 430s - It was 434
round 57 low 420s - I predict 423 to 425
round 58 mid 410s -
round 59 mid 400s - this is what I hope for

 

[robinsonjoel]

Any predictions for the next draw??!

I think it will pitch a bit high, but definitely range bound...they also released the list of people in the pool as of April 7th, 2017. Eventually, scores will drop to 380 range i guess, but could year end. With changes coming in June, it will be interesting to know how it will impact CRS rounds of invitation.

 

[utopiaholic]

473 points, still no ITA. I'm getting a bit frustrated. This waiting is killing me.

 

[ravs77]

I think it will pitch a bit high, but definitely range bound...they also released the list of people in the pool as of April 7th, 2017. Eventually, scores will drop to 380 range i guess, but could year end. With changes coming in June, it will be interesting to know how it will impact CRS rounds of invitation.

Please confirm what you mean by they also released the list of people in the pool as of April 7th, 2017.