Can't think of worse than that.. Irrespective of what happens in the next draw, luck plays a cruel role at times... We will be through in the next draw!
Can't think of worse than that.. Irrespective of what happens in the next draw, luck plays a cruel role at times... We will be through in the next draw!
Cut off has to come down if there is a consistency with the draw and each draw size is 2500+. Since, September 2016 almost 20000+ candidates have got the ITA. There was a report on October 1st week stating that 60000 is the size of the pool. If we consider today, I dont think, we should not have more than 50000+ candidates. Also, some wrote that 500+ candidates joins the queue every week. However, not all of them have the score in the range of 400+. Yes, everyone is trying hard to get into 400+ category. But, its not easy.
I do hope that score has to settle somewhere 410+ in next six months. Otherwise, opposition will create significant problems for the present govnt. Since, the changes were done for the betterment and to bring down the score, if the same objective is not achieved, the opposition will not leave a chance to embarrass the govnt.
So keep a faith and good will come to you.
Also, eagerly waiting for the end of year report.
By the way, any statistician on this group, who can do regression and progression to get the some idea.
Are you sure? Where is that report? Isnt that for jan 2016. It hasnt come out since
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/reports/ee-year-end-2015.asp
The biggest difference of 2017 and 2016 is that most of candidates who getting the ITA in 2017 are pure > 454 and usually students who havn't established the family with kids yet.
In 2016, most of ITA people were >600 which means, majority of people who recieved ITA in 2016 were through LMIA.
Those are usually from mostly India with 3~4 kids + wife. so 1 ITA filled up the 2~6 positions of immigration in 2016. That's the reason why # of ITA was so low compared to actual immigration #.
In 2017, Anybody below 350 without LMIA is now gone from competition (which was 40% of total ITA receiver in 2015 by 2015 express entry report)
(I would personally think that it would be more than 40% in 2016 because 2016 was the true year that # of fake LMIA was spontaneously increased).
It will encourage that Total # of ITA in 2017 will be doubled from 2016, and it will lower down the CRS eventually up to 430.