Well the last two draws were 474 and 470, and they have reduced the number of quotas due to refugees haven't they? How come nobody else is worried
I hope you guys are right but at this point I am just a little worried, been in Canada for so many years I don't wanna end up going back so I really need that PR and got rejected in my last ITA due to a PCC error :|
The general quota is down about 20% but what we've been told is the additional 10k refugees won't affect the already reduced quota for 2016. The data for 2015 is all over the place. I think when the April draws come through we will have a clearer picture. I'm slightly worried too. There are three possible outcomes:
a. Figure stays the same
b. Figure drops
c. Figure increases
The thing is the distribution of scores more than the number of people to be drawn determines the cut-off CRS. If more than 80% have CRS between 420-450 as an example then it's more likely the score will be in the middle there somewhere. If however the distribution is biased towards 450+ then it stands to reason that it'll be 450+. The key is in the CRS distribution at draw time and this may well be the same, up or down.
Well that is why you see variations in invitations. Like 1014 1030 etc ... these variations account to taking all people who are above or equal to the CRS.
Thank you all for your responses, this really helped me understand the whole EE system better. looking at last few draws, this next one most likely will be 465
Thank you all for your responses, this really helped me understand the whole EE system better. looking at last few draws, this next one most likely will be 465
