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usman_14pk

Champion Member
Jan 29, 2013
1,077
47
Hello,

So last draw cut off at 471. What are your thoughts for the 15th?

As per previous timeline, I guess 15th draw is expected tomorrow (14th August, Friday). Do you think that score will go further down i.e. less than 450?
 
I don't expect any draw tomorrow.
 
kainthsimranjit said:
I don't expect any draw tomorrow.

Most likely next Friday. between 450 and 470 points .. but just a guess
 
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)
 
ggupta83 said:
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)


If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.
 
usman_14pk said:
Hello,

So last draw cut off at 471. What are your thoughts for the 15th?

As per previous timeline, I guess 15th draw is expected tomorrow (14th August, Friday). Do you think that score will go further down i.e. less than 450?

I'd be very surprised if they draw tomorrow.. if so, the score will probably go down to 450
My money would be on Friday 8/21... if so, the score will probably go down to 460

Good luck to you all!
 
singh100 said:
If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.

draws since July are going towards the 2016 quota - with a processing time of 6 months, profiles pulled in July go into 2016. No one knows what the 2016 quota is. And the 2015 quota was made up mainly from applications that were backlogged. They anticipated less than 20% of new PR's in 2015 would come through EE. the rest applied in previous years through old streams.
 
rafzy said:
Hope it falls below 450 as im sitting at 447 :(
448 this side buddy
 
Most lilely the nxt draw wud be arnd the end of the month....Hope for the best guys....good luck to all
 
purplesnow said:
draws since July are going towards the 2016 quota - with a processing time of 6 months, profiles pulled in July go into 2016. No one knows what the 2016 quota is. And the 2015 quota was made up mainly from applications that were backlogged. They anticipated less than 20% of new PR's in 2015 would come through EE. the rest applied in previous years through old streams.

+1.

If I had to take a WILD guess, I'd guess next draw not before 28/8; cut-off score 470+. But that's a *very* wild guess ;)
 
ggupta83 said:
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)

Make sense to some extent because in this way they won't be able to achieve 2015 target. Let's see.
 
singh100 said:
If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.

True, I also think the same. Let's see what we have next. Just hope for the best.
 
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