to be honest if they draw 2500 or even 2000 per draw, and every 2 weeks a number less than this number enters the pool, we are guaranteed ITA. The problem with CIC was consistency and this is what we need.
For sure they can't have such massive draws forever. IMO, they want to give a chance to people who've been stuck below 450 since ever and the only way to do that is to have large draws. Once they have reached a certain minimum CRS then they would start having smaller draws and the score would be consistent at a certain level. Now, what that certain minimum CRS is is something that only CIC and time can tell.
For sure they can't have such massive draws forever. IMO, they want to give a chance to people who've been stuck below 450 since ever and the only way to do that is to have large draws. Once they have reached a certain minimum CRS then they would start having smaller draws and the score would be consistent at a certain level. Now, what that certain minimum CRS is is something that only CIC and time can tell.
and how would they satisfy the annually quota?? they cannot stop before inviting the 126k people they want for 2017. unless there is another way we are unaware about
I am sitting at 444 right now and have just paid IQAS for my wife's evaluation. After successful evaluation, my score will bump to 454. I hope they follow similar trend of invites at least for next 2 months..
and how would they satisfy the annually quota?? they cannot stop before inviting the 126k people they want for 2017. unless there is another way we are unaware about
The quota is set for number of PRs and not for ITAs. We also do not know for sure if the paper based applications backlog has actually been dealt with. However, the ITAs this year will never go down to the levels that we saw last year.
Hopefully this trend keeps up for the next couple months at least, there are no guarantees. I personally think ITAs will be heavy during the first quarter to allow time during the rest of the year, to start and finish the entire process for these candidates. That way, it all takes place (or at least most of it) during 2017, and not leak over into 2018. This will allow CIC to actually hit its target during the 2017 year, and we may see the invites taper off later in the year. If we don't we'd be looking at over 120k ITAs, so I highly doubt this trend would continue throughout the year.
CIC are the only people who know exactly what the strategy is. With that said, these numbers of people leaving the pool may leave others in place to receive PNP once they re-open to beginning filling their quotas for 2017. The simple fact is that they will admitting more people than last year with the increase in quota, the exact strategy they will use to do that no-one knows, these next couple months will continue to shed light on the situation.
This thread and the Ray of Hope 54th thread make me feel very hopeful. So many people believe that the whole 440s bracket will be cleared by the end of February... I'm too excited to the point that I get nervous. Argh i hate being in this passive waiting stage. Is there anything that WE can do to make sure that the score dropping trend will not reverse? :s I am feeling very nervous
This thread and the Ray of Hope 54th thread make me feel very hopeful. So many people believe that the whole 440s bracket will be cleared by the end of February... I'm too excited to the point that I get nervous. Argh i hate being in this passive waiting stage. Is there anything that WE can do to make sure that the score dropping trend will not reverse? :s I am feeling very nervous
with spouse 
