Well, it seems you are well-placed for early 2023! The best guess for now is still approximately 1 year from AOR based on a number of people having 'due dates' of 1 year from their AOR. So, that would put you into PR in January of 2023. Fingers crossed & best wishes!
According to GCMS notes, my 'due date' is also exactly one day before the 1 year anniversary of my AOR, even though all documents were in with original application, no added dependents, only one GU in June, nothing since then. That would/might put my PR into May 2023.
On the other hand, I am still hoping that there will be a big push to 'finish' the 2021 TR to PR Pathway program earlier than the current pace based on the following:
- In June of 2022, IRCC included TR to PR as one of the 3 programs they wanted to set a priority on in their planning for 2023.
- In Nov of 2022, IRCC's updated plan for 2023-2024 had all remaining TR to PR's completed in 2023 -- there were '0' for 2024.
- My perception is that TR to PR started as a 'shining light' but is ending as a 'dark stain' and they'd like to clean it up ASAP. In public, they will have the excuse of Covid, Afghan & Ukrainian refugees, but in a year or two the audit of this new program will reveal the causes for delay in more detail. Doesn't help us now, but I'll be looking for it.
Best wishes one and all!