So I was trying to figure out the ins and outs in the express entry pool. It seems to me, the no of net entry in the range 411-440 is not much. Around 60 profile per day in the last 45 days (Dec 18 - Feb 01 ). However, The no of new profile in the 441+ CRS is much higher. But the promising thing is that the new entries in that high range, even though very high, is still not enough to keep the CRS score stable, that is why we are seeing 2 points decrease in every draw (in the last three draws). So if there is no new sudden unusual influx of new profiles entering the pool there is no reason for the CRS score to stay above 440 in coming weeks.
In addition, if the ITA remain above 3000+ and if there is even one or two back to back draws the CRS score will plummet down because once some of the profiles in the 431-440 are cleared the no of the new entries in the 431-1200 will not be able to keep the CRS stable.