Ray of Hope - 81st Draw

[jessekay]

Thankyou @lampbreaker
I will learn and will give exam again next month

Have a look at the link..lessons are quite helpful

http://ieltsliz.com/

Pay adequate attention to second task in speaking..

 

[Karthick_88]

Mostly after two months if there are regular draws every two weeks.

Thanks.. In Q1 2017, CIC released 24632 ITAs. With the higher immigration target they should release atleast the same count if not more in Q1 2018.

 

[tjsecondtry]

Hello from Toronto. I'm here on my student visa, earning more points on my CRS. Exhausted from moving in.. Looking forward to organizing some Tim Hortons meetups.

 

[Samroze]

We haven't even seen the first draw and most of us started being on panic mode.
Let's wait for a draw or two before drawing conclusions.
Prediction will be more accurate after seeing Jan draws.
Hoping for the best.....
Keep your hopes alive...
2018 is our year

 

[Favouredchild]

You are a very good person.

Wow! .. Thank you!

 

[RahulMalpani]

When I do my analysis, I use this page, however, we also include the number of people remaining in the pool after each draw. This makes the predictions more accurate or a better guess . The issue with all of this is, if the number of people receiving ITA are more accurate with their applications, then the number of wasted ITA will reduce, which will reduce the number of additional ITAs that are required. Additionally, each ITA is not equivalent to one applicant. Therefore, to your point, we should just sit tight and hope for the best.

Good point about the number of rejections and its effect on the subsequent draws. This also draws attention towards the applications that get delayed. Somewhere I read (not reliable....since it is not from CIC) that atleast 5% applications get rejected and 20% delayed.

If one ASSUMES this to be true then I would lean towards a higher cut-off unless the draw invites significantly high number of applicants (which seems unlikely because Canada would not want to exaust their quota in less rounds.....they would rather wait for applicants with higher score to apply in future rounds).

But I agree.....all this is speculation with no real grounds.....best policy is to sit tight and wait for their invitation.

 

[RahulMalpani]

That is not accurate. As per IRCC:

An applicant may have a birthday after they receive an ITA but before they submit their e-APR. Their change in age may lower their CRS score below the lowest score in the round of invitations. It may also result in the applicant no longer meeting the minimum requirements of the FSWC and, consequently, no longer meeting the MEC, resulting in a refusal based on section A11.2.

When a change in age results in the candidate no longer meeting the MEC or having their recalculated CRS points score fall below the lowest points score in that round of invitations, officers should consider applying the public policy to exempt applicants for permanent residence from certain age-based requirements between invitation to apply and application, based on section A25.2. This consideration can result in an exemption from the refusal of an application under section A11.2.
​

So, that means that the CRS will drop if the applicant has a birthday after receiving an ITA. However, if this drop makes the CRS score fall below the cut-off threshold, the applicant will be exempt and the application will not be refused. Good Luck!

Btw this too is incorrect. People falling in this bracket are exempted from refusal.

Read this:

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...ctions-agreements/age-based-requirements.html

 

[saani]

Kindly guide me. I have applied for EOR, as it will take 8 weeks,can i take another IELTS meanwhile. ?
I can use any IELTS result for EE or only latest should be used?

 

[Samroze]

Kindly guide me. I have applied for EOR, as it will take 8 weeks,can i take another IELTS meanwhile. ?
I can use any IELTS result for EE or only latest should be used?

You can use any ielts result which has validity (2 years timelimit) whichever test result fetches you more points you can use that irrespective of when it was taken.

 

[virendera84]

Guys ... have patience and be positive .... year 2018 going to be good for everyone ...

 

[Onpoint]

Good for you! Improve your score French, or more work experience

@jessekay or invent a time machine and reduce your age

 

[jessekay]

@jessekay or invent a time machine and reduce your age

I dont think i need a time machine.
Have the max points for age.

Just that b**** WES did not recognize my masters, so lost points

 

[Onpoint]

I dont think i need a time machine.
Have the max points for age.

Just that b**** WES did not recognize my masters, so lost points

Have you tried getting your masters evaluated by another agency - ICAS/IQAS?

 

[jessekay]

Have you tried getting your masters evaluated by another agency - ICAS/IQAS?

I did not.
I know my institute is not UGC recognised.
High chances that even IQAS will consider it non recognised

 

[jessekay]

Is anyone sitting for TEF in coming months?
Would be helpful if he/she would like to practice orale section together