Ray of Hope 68th Draw

[Globetrotter2017]

I see some people predicting, or rather concluding that CIC has decided to conduct just one draw per month from now onwards to keep the CRS cut offs high.
I am thinking, if this is true, then why CIC is conducting a mid month draw? They can conduct a single draw towards the end of the month. This way they will get more candidates with higher CRS scores than they would be getting in a mid month draw.
Logic...

Some people just like to predict for the sake of predicting. All predictions aren't necessarily true.

I adore your logic btw. it makes complete sense.

 

[tallsamurai38]

Honest answer, a little difficult. But yes, you are bound to get it in 2 draws time.

All the best. Keep the hope alive.

What about 427 ...my ielts is expiring in 3 months ..sad

 

[Emergentsky]

Honest answer, a little difficult. But yes, you are bound to get it in 2 draws time.

All the best. Keep the hope alive.

One hope is that the 451-500 pool(as of July 6)which was at 1008 was completely flushed out in the July 12 round. This has kept my hopes alive.. fingers crossed.. At 3200 draws, this seems to enter the 421-430 range. Correct me if I'm wrong

 

[edah]

And with that...

I'ma I'ma I'ma starboy...

Hahahahahhahahahahahaha

 

[sahinriza]

If we see a draw today I promise to stay in Iqaluit fow a week...

 

[khalidr]

One thing I was thinking is that may be there are not enough candidate sitting at 431-439, thats why there was no draw . Remember you all are just guessing and estimating.

 

[cnrp]

Awrite..

CIC still on lunch break...?

I guess their working time is from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. so we got 2,5 hours left for today.
Still got hope though...

 

[Globetrotter2017]

What about 427 ...my ielts is expiring in 3 months ..sad

I normally predict just one draw at a time. 427 looks tough cos there are alot of people in the 425 to 440 margin. Let this draw go so that we can predict well from historical data.

I wish you all the best.

And I advice you to take the IELTS ASAP!

 

[tallsamurai38]

One hope is that the 451-500 pool(as of July 6)which was at 1008 was completely flushed out in the July 12 round. This has kept my hopes alive.. fingers crossed.. At 3200 draws, this seems to enter the 421-430 range. Correct me if I'm wrong

but 200 per day were getting added with higher scores si it wont go to 430.i m worried what if it doesnt drop to 420 or so in couple of months i.e 4 draws

 

[cankrk]

I see some people predicting, or rather concluding that CIC has decided to conduct just one draw per month from now onwards to keep the CRS cut offs high.
I am thinking, if this is true, then why CIC is conducting a mid month draw? They can conduct a single draw towards the end of the month. This way they will get more candidates with higher CRS scores than they would be getting in a mid month draw.
Logic...

How making a draw at the end of the month will result with higher CRS scores? The distance between draws is important, not the beginning / mid / end of the months. That's just arbitrary number.

 

[Globetrotter2017]

One hope is that the 451-500 pool(as of July 6)which was at 1008 was completely flushed out in the July 12 round. This has kept my hopes alive.. fingers crossed.. At 3200 draws, this seems to enter the 421-430 range. Correct me if I'm wrong

If the rate of flushing out is greater than the rate of flushing in, then you are right. If not, can't say!

 

[Emergentsky]

but 200 per day were getting added with higher scores si it wont go to 430.i m worried what if it doesnt drop to 420 or so in couple of months i.e 4 draws

Are you saying that 200 people are added to the pool above 440 per day ? Or overall ?

 

[cankrk]

One thing I was thinking is that may be there are not enough candidate sitting at 431-439, thats why there was no draw . Remember you all are just guessing and estimating.

That doesn't make sense to me. If it would be only number of candidates, they could just make a draw will lower number of ITA's issued.

 

[StevieFray]

So i talked to my.... little right shoulder fairy , and he says it is happening, just hang in there

hehe

 

[krn89]

How making a draw at the end of the month will result with higher CRS scores? The distance between draws is important, not the beginning / mid / end of the months. That's just arbitrary number.

Agree with you, but thr r few things to consider before we agree to the fact that ircc is close to thr targeted no. Of itas.

1. If they were tht close, they wud nt have dropped crs to 413.
2. If they were close, they wud nt have made changes to points system on june 6.
3. If they were close, why would they have conducted draw on july 12 after 2 weeks only.