I have done random guesses previously, this is based on the data shared by CIC. Still, the numbers won't be exact as the number of people entering the pool each week varies..
I used the below data for coming up with my predictions:
From Mar 1 to Mar 24, in 23 days 3749 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
From Mar 29 to Apr 05, in 7 days 1143 people got added with 431and above CRS.
From Mar 24 to Mar 29, in 5 days 683 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
Yeah but now we have like tens of thousands applications invited just during the first quarter only, which never was before. Does anybody modelled the possible processing time increase? Hope these increased quantities won't affect CIC performance but still..
Yeah but now we have like tens of thousands applications invited just during the first quarter only, which never was before. Does anybody modelled the possible processing time increase? Hope these increased quantities won't affect CIC performance but still..
Previously too CIC was processing similar quantity of applications (as they had paper applications pending). So the average processing time is going to be more or less the same.
I used the below data for coming up with my predictions:
From Mar 1 to Mar 24, in 23 days 3749 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
From Mar 29 to Apr 05, in 7 days 1143 people got added with 431and above CRS.
From Mar 24 to Mar 29, in 5 days 683 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
along with the above data it is also imperative to deduce a correlation with the IELTS examination results date to get a fare estimate as to when new candidates are added to the pool.
i think draw dates are more or less synced with IELTS result dates also along with the host of unpredictable IRCC systems and policies
along with the above data it is also imperative to deduce a correlation with the IELTS examination results date to get a fare estimate as to when new candidates are added to the pool.
i think draw dates are more or less synced with IELTS result dates also along with the host of unpredictable IRCC systems and policies
I have a feeling that we have a lot at applications return into the pool from those who declined the ITA
what do you all think
That is why I believe that we had the extra 1143 applicants got above 431 in one week (29th march to 5th april)
I have been reading that some people are predicting next draw after 3 weeks and giving their prediction and calculations for next cutoff.
Friends, the draw on 1st march was not expected by anyone and then 23 days of lull was also not expected.
Such kind of scenarios have rarely happened in the past and they won't happen anytime soon, at least not before the changes that are gone happen on 6th June.
As per my understanding next few draws would happen after a gap of 2 weeks and the draw of 19th April would be somewhere between 424(
+1,-1) with around 3700+ ITA.
So all who are in this range, please get ready because you are next on this roller coaster ride....