Ray of Hope - 124th Draw

[ripul]

Can anyone please share the link of the 457 draw? I cant find it

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html

 

[sarak1812]

HI all

I have dropped to say a big congratulations to all people waiting for ITA

@Punitsingh @13nitinsharma @NikSharma01 @facethereality thank you all for keeping the hopes high

AND thank you to all if i have missed anyone..

CONGRATULATIONS TO THE ITA GETTERS FOR TODAY !!!

 

[lignumvitae]

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html

Got it guys. Thanks anyway. Congratulations to all!!! Join the 125th draw thread now. When someone creates it!

 

[ripul]

nice one for 457+ people

but will CIC conduct a 3 weeks gap for next draw?

You said draw will be on 28th. Why are you still hovering here?

 

[Eli31]

This means many NOI from Ontario will be wasted once again? giving the chance to candidates below 450 to be nominated from Ontario?

 

[Punitsingh]

Next draw can happen on 21st or 28th both, below are the supporting points

In favour of 21st Aug:
1. In 12th Aug draw, data shown up to 2nd Aug, means there was a plan to conduct draw on 7th Aug and then on 21st Aug, but 7th Aug draw got delayed

2. Cic could have easily conducted draw on 28th by conducting last draw on 14th, why was there a need to have draw on Monday

3. If we consider last draw as a delayed draw of 7th Aug , then next is on 21st

4. If we consider last draw as an advanced draw of 14th Aug then it is a 3 week gap likely to be followed by b2b draw

5. There are below events approaching:
FST draw in Sep
Elections in Oct

If cic has a margin for a 3 week gap then it would be better to save it for above mentioned 2 events rather than wasting it in Aug

In favour of 28th Aug:
1. Cic has an habit to create a gap after 4-5 regular draws,
Apart from this habit, Don’t see any logic, this would be an unnecessary gap without achieving FST or handling election busy schedule

I guess I was almost correct

 

[sarak1812]

I guess I was almost correct

you are always correct man and congratulations best of luck

 

[Punitsingh]

As u asked for rough idea, so here it is with minimum calculation:

As most of the 466 are cleared so I consider CRS as 465 which means in 19 days 3600 candidates having score > 465 were added

So if a draw happens after 9 days then how many 465+ would be added in 9 days as compared to 19 days= 3600/2 =1800

So remaining 1800 of ITA will be issued to candidates on 465 or below

Rough idea says 7 Candidates per positions per day get added.
So on each position from 460-465 there may be 7 x 28 = 196 candidates

So in bandwidth of 1800 how many positions will be cleared = 1800/196 = 9.18

Now 466-9 should not mean 457 because accumulation on 459 and below is much higher than 196

But I believe CRS should be around 459 if:
1. Draw happens on 21st Aug
2. New 600+ candidates added in 9 days should not be more than 500 ( as in 19 days they were 1000 approx)

I guess I was correct here also
Congrats to all, yahoooooo

 

[Punitsingh]

you are always correct man and congratulations best of luck

Ohh long time bro, gud to see u

 

[Jatinder_singh]

How Many years of work experience are required to qualify for express.entry

 

[Punitsingh]

congratulations, guess you will receive yours later today

Thanks bro, I appreciate ur accuracy and reality, u were tough sometimes but it helps

 

[tonydlaw24]

God is faithful

 

[Kenneth89]

I guess I was correct here also
Congrats to all, yahoooooo

Bro u remain the best in this game of prediction, pls don't leave this forum. Always come around to give moral support .

 

[SB0715]

I created the profile yesterday.Do I have the chance to get an invite in this draw? My score is 481.

 

[lignumvitae]

How Many years of work experience are required to qualify for express.entry

One