Im also at 444, hqving missed the Nov 15th one because: 1. I lost 5 points on that day and 2. Even if I didnt, I was @ 449 and would have missed the tie-breaker...
Now I need this to come through at less than 444

, hopefully at 440.
When I read the analyses of others here I don't think anyone can make an accurate prediction. When you look at the trend data, the numbers fluctuate in no predictable manner. I think the perception that more people are chosing to immigrate to Canada is not showing in the trend. At this time last year, we had similar thresholds...
It's just about the luck of the draw, and fate.
Good luck guys!