November 2020 - Citizenship Application

[Linear M]

Mid of of February and start of March ,nov ppl can expect something , or maybe early as they are getting better at being less slow

 

[mrmrtn]

Considering the days to AOR average has been consistently decreasing, and has hit 85 (at this time) for September, I'd venture a guess that Early November applicants should start seeing AORs popping in starting the 24th of Jan, and throughout February.

That is unless something wrong happens and causes AOR delays to go back up.

Skipping the next step and looking at "In progress to Test", the latest day delta is ridiculously high, hitting an average of 305.
If the pace continues to be this astronomical, which unfortunately is quite possible with the pandemic, I'd say November applicants are likely to only be tested late in 2021. (November / December)

God knows when they'll go through the Oath Ceremony. My wild guess, based on nothing by gut feeling, says Citizenship by February 2022.

 

[phoenix111]

Considering the days to AOR average has been consistently decreasing, and has hit 85 (at this time) for September, I'd venture a guess that Early November applicants should start seeing AORs popping in starting the 24th of Jan, and throughout February.

That is unless something wrong happens and causes AOR delays to go back up.

Skipping the next step and looking at "In progress to Test", the latest day delta is ridiculously high, hitting an average of 305.
If the pace continues to be this astronomical, which unfortunately is quite possible with the pandemic, I'd say November applicants are likely to only be tested late in 2021. (November / December)

God knows when they'll go through the Oath Ceremony. My wild guess, based on nothing by gut feeling, says Citizenship by February 2022.

I like your estimation! February 2022 isn't too bad if we think about it. It'd be 3-4 months delay from the original processing time (12months) which isn't so bad given that 2020 was entirely useless XD

 

[siddharthbala]

Considering the days to AOR average has been consistently decreasing, and has hit 85 (at this time) for September, I'd venture a guess that Early November applicants should start seeing AORs popping in starting the 24th of Jan, and throughout February.

That is unless something wrong happens and causes AOR delays to go back up.

Skipping the next step and looking at "In progress to Test", the latest day delta is ridiculously high, hitting an average of 305.
If the pace continues to be this astronomical, which unfortunately is quite possible with the pandemic, I'd say November applicants are likely to only be tested late in 2021. (November / December)

God knows when they'll go through the Oath Ceremony. My wild guess, based on nothing by gut feeling, says Citizenship by February 2022.

I have the lurking suspicion that speed will be closely tied to the public vaccination programs in place for the provinces because that removes the last perceivable risk to public sector people to work. It'd be good to revisit this around August this year to see if speed has picked up or continued to languish at its current rate.

 

[mrmrtn]

Just a quick update from my estimations, it seems like the holidays did indeed affect AORs, bumping the "Days until AOR" go up to 140 in August, and 120 in September.

While it's likely that these numbers will continue dropping as they were prior to end of year, I'd venture a guess and direct folks to assume AORs to hit inboxes from 95 days from submission to 120, likely trending toward the longer side of the estimation.

Personally, I'm expecting mine about 110 days after receipt.

 

[pg15]

Oct-15-2020 got AoR today (checked in spreadsheet). Nov shall start by month end

 

[pampal]

Can you, please add to the tracker:

Location: Brampton, ON
Application type: Family of 4 (2 Adults, 2 children)
Physical presence days: 1105
App sent date: Nov 15, 2020
App delivered date: Nov 19, 2020

 

[mrmrtn]

Oct-15-2020 got AoR today (checked in spreadsheet). Nov shall start by month end

Well bite me. Two hits for single applications under 100 days. You may be right.

 

[siddharthbala]

Well bite me. Two hits for single applications under 100 days. You may be right.

Looks like a regular rain of AOR's, going by that October 2020 thread. Going to be cautiously optimistic, even though I know that getting an AOR isn't really the end of it, just the first rest stop.

 

[sk000]

Looks like a regular rain of AOR's, going by that October 2020 thread. Going to be cautiously optimistic, even though I know that getting an AOR isn't really the end of it, just the first rest stop.

agreed totally. If we get the AOR at least we know that application is complete. If not then start over. So that first rest stop is important too.

 

[sandip_patil]

Hey All! My details are as follows:

Location (city): Mississauga
App type (single or # of people): 2
Physical presence days: 1208
App sent date: Oct 28 2020
App delivered date: Nov 02 2020

Please add me to the tracker
Thank you

 

[keypad]

Hey All! My details are as follows:

Location (city): Mississauga
App type (single or # of people): 2
Physical presence days: 1208
App sent date: Oct 28 2020
App delivered date: Nov 02 2020

Please add me to the tracker
Thank you

Added

 

[eager]

Hi all, Could you please add to the tracker:

Location: Richmond hill, ON
Application type: Family of 3 (2 Adults, 1 child)
Physical presence days: 1,120 days
App sent date: Nov 9, 2020
App delivered date: Nov 12, 2020

Thank you

 

[eager]

Hi all, Could you please add to the tracker:

Location: Richmond hill, ON
Application type: Family of 3 (2 Adults, 1 child)
Physical presence days: 1,120 days
App sent date: Nov 9, 2020
App delivered date: Nov 12, 2020

Thank you

Thank you to whoever added my details to the tracker. Oct 21st got AOR today as per tracker, hang in there guys we are getting closer.

 

[SwanTanya]

Can you add me?

Location: Ottawa, ON
Application type: Single
Physical presence days: 1098 days
App sent date: Nov 11, 2020
App delivered date: Nov 16, 2020