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Jaycejay said:
I’m trying to be very logical about the situation (even though IRCC may not relate to this):

•IRCC is still not close to meeting the overall 401,000 target for this year; last I checked, they are barely halfway into it.

•Other streams like the family, refugees and some categories of the economic stream including PNP are having serious deficits and a very high probability of not being met this year

• IRCC may decide not to follow the exact specific targets of each streams religiously and may be open to making up for deficits of some categories with surplus from another category. For example they plan to take in 20,000 Afghans on humanitarian grounds (when the humanitarian target for this year is actually 5,500)

•IRCC could expand the express entry intake for this year to cover ground for the target deficits of other streams. For example they might decide to land more federal high skilled workers (CEC + FSW + FST) this year than originally planned.

• It’s not feasible for IRCC to depend on CEC invites any time from September 29 to meet this year’s target because most would land next year at best. Why go through that hassle when they can easy land at least 30,000 FSW-O and PNP-O whose applications are finalized or close to being approved or even reissue COPRs to those that have expired COPRS when the border reopens?
Click to expand...
Actually from what I have read previously it’s about 23k expired COPRs, 15k apps which are finalized but no COPRs issued and about 7.5k apps close to being finalized.
 
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aseemrastogi2 said:
Actually from what I have read previously it’s about 23k expired COPRs, 15k apps which are finalized but no COPRs issued and about 7.5k apps close to being finalized.
Click to expand...
Absolutely. That's why they exempted FSW CoPRs from restrictions. They can't meet targets this year with CEC only. They need the numbers you said on top of the numbers from 2021 CEC draws to even barely meet their targets. I've said it before; FSW folks with all stages passed: you guys are landing this year.

See it all adds up. CEC invites are dropped because of this; they aren't needed in 2021. IRCC is focusing on finishing CECs received so far and handling FSW CoPRs and PPRs (especially after Sept 7).

FSW draws soon because they can't prepare for 2022 with 3k CEC draws.
 
aseemrastogi2 said:
Actually from what I have read previously it’s about 23k expired COPRs, 15k apps which are finalized but no COPRs issued and about 7.5k apps close to being finalized.
Click to expand...
True but the bold part may not be accurate as of now because several of those with expired COPRs have been reissued new valid COPRs from when this stat was released (months ago) and now. We just don’t have the exact figure but the COPR and Coronavirus thread gives an insight. They’ve seen some movement in the last couple months. Also, many more applications have been finalized after this stat was posted
 
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Ye
Jaycejay said:
True but the bold part may not be accurate as of now because several of those with expired COPRs have been reissued new valid COPRs from when this stat was released (months ago) and now. We just don’t have the exact figure but the COPR and Coronavirus thread gives an insight. They’ve seen some movement in the last couple months. Also, many more applications have been finalized after this stat was posted
Click to expand...
For expired COPRs yes, but I doubt many new COPRs have been issued for the ones finalized / or almost finalized. Hopefully this would change as we move past Sept 7.
 
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ImpatientKangaroo said:
Absolutely. That's why they exempted FSW CoPRs from restrictions. They can't meet targets this year with CEC only. They need the numbers you said on top of the numbers from 2021 CEC draws to even barely meet their targets. I've said it before; FSW folks with all stages passed: you guys are landing this year.

See it all adds up. CEC invites are dropped because of this; they aren't needed in 2021. IRCC is focusing on finishing CECs received so far and handling FSW CoPRs and PPRs (especially after Sept 7).

FSW draws soon because they can't prepare for 2022 with 3k CEC draws.
Click to expand...
I guess lots to hopefully look forward to this Sept onwards - all program draws, PPR rains for FSW-O, more and more outlanders landing.
 
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