Hey!
I would like to share some numbers and will be backing it with data.
DISCLAIMER: this is my observation based on the data posted on Canada.ca and Canadavisa.com. All I am trying to do is put some rest to speculations with numbers.
The numbers are rounded.
2015 -
ITA - 31,000
Visa issued 16,600
2016
ITA - 34,000
Visa issued 37,000
2017
ITA - 86,000
Application :
Received 110,000
Approved 96,000
Visa issued 93,500
2018
ITA - 82,000 till 28 Nov.
Let’s add 25,000 applicants more based on past 2017 trend (application received > ITAs for the year)
By the way 16,500 ITAs were issued in last 3 months of 2017 So buffer added here too as 90 days are given to submit applicans.
We have around
107,
000 submitted applicants (this number is on the higher side as it didn’t exclude those who won’t submit and counts ALL those who received ITA 3900 in last draw)
Conclusion:
1. We are yet to reach last years application received as of today.
2. Let’s say if the number of ITAs issued is going to increase by 4000 with every draw and if we add ITAs from next 2 draws which can happen this month (3900*2)= 8000 approximately(buffer added).
Total ITAs by Dec should be 90,000.
90,000(2018) - 86,000(2017) = 4000.
3. They have issued 93,500 last year and we are yet to see 2 more draws I don’t think they exceeded their quota so far. Also,if you will check table 7 of Express entry year end report 2017 they had issued more visas in Q3 and Q4.
4. From 2016 to 2017 they were able to transition from 37,000 visa to 93,500 visas, I think they approved number won’t be that huge for 2018 compared to 2016-2017.
Didn’t they plan to do this for next 2 more years.
So, in short we are fine.
Links:
See table 7
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...nuals/express-entry-year-end-report-2017.html
End of the page past 4 years ITA
https://www.canadavisa.com/express-entry-invitations-to-apply-issued.html#gs.UG9Ujms
If I made some mistake please let me know