Hey
@gau55555
I did went through the data since May 2018.
Indian applicants residing in India as of 11 November
For May total 90 applicants
78% got PPR
20% are in Medical pass stage
Out of these 20%; 4% are in IP2.
Rest 2 are still APR.
For June
37% got PPR of 141
61% in Med pass (18% of these are in IP2)
Rest 2% are still APR
For July it’s
22% got PPR out of 132
76% in Med pass (27% of these are in IP2)
Rest 2% are still APR
For August
8% got PPR out of 184
88% in Med pass (15% of these are in IP2)
Rest 4% APR including 1 refused
Yes, IP2 fact still stands true for most of the cases.
80% of applicants will done by 4-5 months from AOR.
Being IP2 doesn’t mean that IP1 won’t get a PPR mail directly. There are 5-7% in every month who went directly to PPR from IP1 and for those in NA,NA2 or next step is to conduct BC less than 5% but yeah they do got PPR mail.
Assumptions for the above calculations:
All people must have entered data correctly. Even though few people haven’t updated for over a month.
Some people didn’t put any BGS status. This is based on sample data.
My conclusion: This month we should see
at least 15% of Indian August applicants i.e. 27 to 30 people getting PPR these number can be from IP1 or IP2.
This is just a prediction based on past trends what I observed.
(Yeah! I have nothing better to do

and I am anxious too

)
If you find any mistakes I am human too!