That's incorrect, please refer us to where it is stated so. CIC uses from the AOR even when they do yearly it quarterly review of how fast they processed applications..they use from AOR.
Thanks for the links and it seems CIC play loosely with what they consider to be a complete application. However, I would have to believe it is when the AOR is received as stated in the Complete Package Info. This can be verified in the Express Entry Annual Report (http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/reports/ee-year-end-2016.asp) under Table 11.2 where CIC mentions that they processed 80% of applications within 6 months of which 2,562 were refused. If CIC were counting the 6-month completion time from a successful R10 completion, then the refused wouldn't make it into the statistics.
Secondly, CIC mention raising a CSE when the 6-month duration has elapsed. As applicants, we have no clue when R10 is complete unless you order the notes which isn't a requirement so it would be safe to assume that CIC's intention is 6 months from AOR.
When are you planning to order another set of GCMS? Im planning after 10th July since that will be just 13 days prior before my six months time is over.
I think that's your interpretation not an actual fact
If you call the CIC they ask your AOR date and based on that date they tell you when is expected for your application to be completed
Chances decrease over time but you can be rejected up to the date you land in Canada. The process is not over until you actually apply for your PR card.