Your situation is not uncommon, especially for non-Express Entry streams like the OINP. Here’s a breakdown of what could be happening and what steps you can take:
1. Incomplete IMM5604 Form Submission: Since IRCC requested an updated IMM5604 form and you submitted it in November, this could have caused some processing delay. When additional documentation is requested, the application often goes back into the queue for reassessment.
2. Background and Security Checks: Your GCMS notes indicate that eligibility is under review and security is complete. The review process can sometimes take longer for certain applicants, especially if there are prior refusals or flagpoling incidents, as in your case.
3. Pre-Arrival Letter (PAL) and P1 Status: Since you’re applying from within Canada, you’re correct that you will receive the PAL first, followed by P1. The PAL is often issued once eligibility is passed, but if there’s a review required, that could be causing the delay.
4. Processing Times Variability: While other applicants who applied later may have received decisions, timelines can vary due to factors like the complexity of the case, the workload at the processing office (Etobicoke, in your case), and security screening.