Does this mean people in the queue have to wait even longer, until 2023? I mean there are 70K plus post ITA people in the backlog and 2022 target is only 52K
Yes, most probably. As of February 1, about 15000 CEC and 50000 FSW in backlog. I'am assuming these assholes will process all the CEC this year. From Dec 15 - Feb 1, about 14000 CEC + FSW were processed, most of which will eat up into this years FHS target (let's say 10000). So the remaining quota for FSW this year us 55900 - (15000 + 10000) = 30,900. So only roughly 60% of FSW backlog will be processed this year. And this is assuming there are no more CEC draws. Maybe someone can double-check my math.
Yes, most probably. As of February 1, about 15000 CEC and 50000 FSW in backlog. I'am assuming these assholes will process all the CEC this year. From Dec 15 - Feb 1, about 14000 CEC + FSW were processed, most of which will eat up into this years FHS target (let's say 10000). So the remaining quota for FSW this year us 55900 - (15000 + 10000) = 30,900. So only roughly 60% of FSW backlog will be processed this year. And this is assuming there are no more CEC draws. Maybe someone can double-check my math.
For those who received a provincial nomination through express entry and applied in a PNP draw probably won't be affected by this FHS target reduction, right? Since the PNP target is in a different section?
They need to issue new ITAs to meet 2023 target. It can be secured if medicals expire in December 2023 the latest. Assuming 6 months of processing time and 60 days for the applicant to collect their documents - November 2022 is the latest ITA date which can secure a 2023 landing.
For those who received a provincial nomination through express entry and applied in a PNP draw probably won't be affected by this FHS target reduction, right? Since the PNP target is in a different section?
So it's official that very few people from outside will be landing in Canada as permanent residents from this year onwards and this number will be even lower if CEC only draws happen.
So it's official that very few people from outside will be landing in Canada as permanent residents from this year onwards and this number will be even lower if CEC only draws happen.
I think they are following the internal memo. Draws will happen after June. IRCC has to start all program draws at least by June this year so that they can meet the target of 2023. And it’s impossible that they will process the application of FSW within 6 months. But still, it's IRCC you never know what they are thinking.
So it's official that very few people from outside will be landing in Canada as permanent residents from this year onwards and this number will be even lower if CEC only draws happen.
No... What is official is that if you are not in the processing queue right now, there is Zero chance you will be landing this year as HSW. Thats all. Most likely there will be no CEC, no FSW draw till the very end of the year. Interestingly, there MAY be a TR2PR invitation... There was just an inventory of 15K or so TR2PR in Dec 2021... Why is there space for 30K this year? Why 48K next?
For those who received a provincial nomination through express entry and applied in a PNP draw probably won't be affected by this FHS target reduction, right? Since the PNP target is in a different section?
Well, on 1st Feb remaining CEC + FSW are 49751 + 15139... That means 64890. Assuming about 12-14 K processed in Jan, we are still short by some 13-14K at max...
That also means, no CEC or FSW draw this year. Sorry Pre-ITA folks, this is totally fucked up for you folks.
That apart, its more a question of similar priorities to all streams. I think going forward, they will not look at stream (CEC, FSW, FST) and will process which ever can make to the end.
No... What is official is that if you are not in the processing queue right now, there is Zero chance you will be landing this year as HSW. Thats all. Most likely there will be no CEC, no FSW draw till the very end of the year. Interestingly, there MAY be a TR2PR invitation... There was just an inventory of 15K or so TR2PR in Dec 2021... Why is there space for 30K this year? Why 48K next?
FHS is split from TR2PR so I don't think the draws sizes will be huge going forward and cutoff will remain very high which means most CEC's will not get ITA, do you seriously think IRCC will allow this to happen once the draws restart?