Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

[Contactnisha]

thanks mate,
we are sitting at 439 with my spouse due her ielts test.
what do you suggest, shall i go for nomination or wait for CRS to get down to 439?
i am gonna loose 5 points of age in april mid

I think just wait for 2 draws, if cutoff is getting lower u would get direct ita in 3 draws. But if the cutoff remains same or +1 don't step back.
Take the pnp route.

 

[keyur sharma]

Hey guys all the best

My prediction
Date:- 02/07/2018
ITA:- 2750
Cut off:- 438-441

 

[krishkumar7]

Hi guys

Keeping the score distribution of 18th Jan and the crs cut off of 444 in mind, today's score doesn't seem to be going anywhere below 444-442.
Only frequent draws and higher number of invitation can do the trick. Moreover the fact that I read many of the IELTS scores were postponed can result in many more profiles joining the pool in the coming few draws. I wish CIC surprises us with 3500 invitations! All the while, with the frequently changing number of invitation kept us going and expecting something good. But ever since we are stuck on the number 2750, there is no excitement whatsoever.

 

[abhishek_89]

What are your predictions abhishek_89??

Around CRS 442 if draw happens today with 2750 ITAs.

 

[sharma_vidhyut]

With NOI for 433, I am predicting that the CRS points for the upcoming draw to be around 435 to 440.

Dude...if that happens today...I would wish we meet so that i can give you a grand party...!!

 

[krishkumar7]

Dude...if that happens today...I would wish we meet so that i can give you a grand party...!!

Count me in too! Waiting @ 435 too

 

[Ayesha Fawad]

Hey all...I have 2yrs of work experience and added this to my profile to claim crs of 435...However my first job I was paid in cash..And to simplify complications I want to remove the first job exp...I see that my score is still 435..
But the problem is I have already received noi from Ontario so if I make any change to my profile without changing crs is it goin to affect the noi? can somebody pls help me.

 

[abhishek_89]

Around CRS 442 if draw happens today with 2750 ITAs.

Assuming ITAs issued in each draw stays constant @ 2750 and draws happen every 2 weeks, the February and March CRS cut offs could be somewhat like below (assuming current average intake continues):
Feb 7 - CRS 442
Feb 21 - CRS 440/441
Mar 7 - CRS 439/440
Mar 21 - CRS 438/439

The above predictions become void in the below 2 scenarios:
1) If number of ITAs issued in each draw increases/decreases from the current threshold of 2750.
2) If the gap between consecutive draws are more/less than 2 weeks.

Disclaimer: I have no insider information and all these are predictions based on multiple variables and the average intake data I am using is based on pool composition from Nov 2017 till Jan 2018. So, using these predictions for decisions regarding applying for OINP, etc. should be your own responsibility and I am not responsible for your decision.

 

[abhishek_89]

what are the chances to get ITA at CRS 442?

Good chance. Beware of the tie-breaker!

 

[Hassan.Fahm]

Have you seen a difference in CIC Calculated score and what the EE profile shows? I see 442 on EE Profile but the calculator showed 441. I'm pretty sure I didn't make any mistake while creating the profile. Don't want to screw things up.

I had the same issue but other way round.

 

[Emnafrancks]

I think just wait for 2 draws, if cutoff is getting lower u would get direct ita in 3 draws. But if the cutoff remains same or +1 don't step back.
Take the pnp route.

2-3 draws can take up the 45 days for submission of NOI. Be guided

 

[Varunaimar]

Assuming ITAs issued in each draw stays constant @ 2750 and draws happen every 2 weeks, the February and March CRS cut offs could be somewhat like below (assuming current average intake continues):
Feb 7 - CRS 442
Feb 21 - CRS 440/441
Mar 7 - CRS 439/440
Mar 21 - CRS 438/439

The above predictions become void in the below 2 scenarios:
1) If number of ITAs issued in each draw increases/decreases from the current threshold of 2750.
2) If the gap between consecutive draws are more/less than 2 weeks.

Disclaimer: I have no insider information and all these are predictions based on multiple variables and the average intake data I am using is based on pool composition from Nov 2017 till Jan 2018. So, using these predictions for decisions regarding applying for OINP, etc. should be your own responsibility and I am not responsible for your decision.

There are other factors that you may not be considering here. For example, the rate of new entrants into the pool has increased. There are also chances that those in CEC program increase their scores by increasing Canadian work experience. Not to mention those who have studied in Canada and are passing out this year... Too many variables.

 

[kulpsing]

guys, i was wondering how the number of 2750 ITAs limit with in 444 CRS points.
as per the data
601-1200 202
451-600 796
441-450 1,420
these slots total to 2418 only, still CRS cut off is 444.
can anyone explain the gap or correct me?

The data that you are looking at is till 18th January. So obviously, there are 6 days from 18th till the date of the last draw (24th). I hope that makes sense.

 

[Contactnisha]

2-3 draws can take up the 45 days for submission of NOI. Be guided

Ya 3 draws means 28 days

 

[unli2020]

If u hv pnp invitation go for it. Never wait

Really? I received LAA but is thinking to wait for Federal Express Entry, CSR 434 too..