Ray of Hope - 79th Draw

[Talk2jt]

It has to be 425. I am on 427

 

[desocavesc]

Ohh.. Must have had a bad experience then.. Anyways I do also maintain some distance with cats.. Smells evil

Hahahahaha here we have a dog person
My two dogs and I already like you haha

 

[Lala1234]

Nice one. I hope you predict 425 in no time soon and it gets to me.... followed by the golden ITA mail.....

waiting patiently for the same

 

[Histrionics]

It's pretty unlikely for a draw to happen today.

Why do you think so? If the CIC follow their regular schedule of a draw every 2 weeks then it ought to happen today.

Besides, it would be a good thing if it happens today. One more week would mean the the score will likely rise in the next draw as more people become eligible to file.

 

[Hassan.Fahm]

It's pretty unlikely for a draw to happen today.

You know what time it is in Canada

Generally from 1200 GMT to 1700 GMT are draw timings

 

[Nikita Pant]

Why do you think so? If the CIC follow their regular schedule of a draw every 2 weeks then it ought to happen today.

I do agree with you. However, as we all know, CIC is quite unpredictable. Therefore, the draw might or might not happen.

 

[Samroze]

I have come up with the prediction for the 79th draw.

If it happens today (Nov 29) with:
2750 ITAs - CRS 438

The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

This means there are nearly 2500 or more new entrants in the pool in just 14 days

It's scary!!! my hopes will vanish if this really happens

435 atleast will be better for keeping our hopes alive

 

[Histrionics]

I do agree with you. However, as we all know, CIC is quite unpredictable. Therefore, the draw might or might not happen.

Oh well. We will find out. Hoping for the best, whatever the cut off.

 

[Nikita Pant]

You know what time it is in Canada

Generally from 1200 GMT to 1700 GMT are draw timings

GMT? I'm following the UTC.

 

[Aryaansohaali]

It's pretty unlikely for a draw to happen today.

If the draw doesn’t happen today then that would be an indication that CIC has limited number of ITAs this year which means we will have 2 more draws this year on dec 06 and dec 20 which will force CRS to go up in the next 2 draws.
I think we will have a draw but I don’t see ITAs to cross 3000 mark this year and CRS will not fluctuate much from the current level of 439

 

[Histrionics]

You know what time it is in Canada

Generally from 1200 GMT to 1700 GMT are draw timings

I've normally seen a 1030 am draw in local Canada time and later. So there's atleast another half hour or so before we can start to really speculate.

 

[Histrionics]

If the draw doesn’t happen today then that would be an indication that CIC has limited number of ITAs this year which means we will have 2 more draws this year on dec 06 and dec 20 which will force CRS to go up in the next 2 draws.
I think we will have a draw but I don’t see ITAs to cross 3000 mark this year and CRS will not fluctuate much from the current level of 439

True enough.

I think limiting the number of ITAs issued could also be because of the backlog that already exists and needs to be processed. I'm sure the CIC needs bandwidth to do that work as well.

There is no limit on the number of ITAs issued because the number of PR targets is only for landed PRs and people drop off either due to withdrawal or rejection of applications.

Also, people who got their CoPR in November or December are likely to land only in 2018 and will contribute to the 2018 targets.

 

[Hassan.Fahm]

GMT? I'm following the UTC.

UTC and GMT is same

 

[karanssharma]

Local time here in toronto is 10:13 am, dayhas just started. Keep your hopes alive

 

[Aryaansohaali]

But hopefully we will have a draw today and 2 back to back on dec 13 and 20 that would really help flush everyone sitting 430 and up

True enough.

I think limiting the number of ITAs issued could also be because of the backlog that already exists and needs to be processed. I'm sure the CIC needs bandwidth to do that work as well.

There is no limit on the number of ITAs issued because the number of PR targets is only for landed PRs and people drop off either due to withdrawal or rejection of applications.

Also, people who got their CoPR in November or December are likely to land only in 2018 and will contribute to the 2018 targets.