Ray of Hope 68th Draw

[andieangel]

I'm so pleased to have such honour my Lady. As your Light Knight I order everyone to be like me (positive) And we all get our Light ITAs very soon

PS: I'm at your service your Honour

Hahaha! Thank you!

 

[CA_India]

Do we have any reasons to believe that a draw on Wednesday would have the same cut off or higher cut off?

 

[Arsalanza]

Many scroll above , it will be low 431-434 i wish its 412 Soon hopefully

 

[pessacanada]

In case you don't know, just found Provincial flag of Yukon As your Light Knight, I will buy this flag for our party in Yukon, other stuffs will be provided by our dear future participants
Look how beautiful it is, just wow

 

[iamxty]

Didn't the temporary pause last for 11 months? Feb to Jan of 17?

Technically still temporary

The fact that their website is always down means their site cannot cope with the traffic from panicking users logging in at the same time so they deemed it is better to pause the registration for a while.

However, I believe it is just a temporary pause until they have cleared all pending submissions. They have yet to publish OINP quota for this year has been fulfilled, as they did on 12-Jan for 2016's quota. Let's wait for another month or two and hope HCP will open again soon.

Reading such sad news, some even PMed me, on a morning is really devastating and can't help feel sorry for all.

 

[FaithandFavor]

So I booked my test (havent paid fees yet) with the hopes that .5 increase in my reading and writing would land my a little above the 400 mark and i'd at least be able to secure a NOI from Ontario......and now this! WTH........and it doesn't help that SINP deemed me ineligible under their EE program coupled with the fact that I lost my brother a few days ago! Ahhh saaaah........when it rains it pours and yet the positive vibes in the thread keeps me hopeful but honestly these days I feel like im fighting a loosing battle..........my emotional battery is critically low where this canadian immigration proce

 

[thourb]

Thanks for the reply. Hopefully youl sail through tomorrow.

What it is exactly im waiting for, a new reference number to put on the EE profile or? or is it the same reference number that i have been using with WES all along ?

Thanks

When you get the ECA from WES it'll have your ECA certificate number on it - at least in my case it's the same as your existing reference number with the letters IMM at the end (e.g. 1234567IMM). You'll need to enter this number along with the date of the ECA report into your EE profile.

 

[thourb]

Here is what I posted on post #1523, hopefully it can help you understand how many ppl submitted their application within those 50k+ ITAs

Guys I found something interesting here, is a open source information from the government of Canada:

http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/593e9165-c6ce-4f9b-b519-03d315f92cd4

As of 31st May 2017, there are around 47876 ITAs issued but only 16630 submitted their application

One ITA might end up with 2ppl, even 3,4 ppl if possible, so the approximately new PRs might be *I don't know, bad at math

I'm not sure about the above data - I would be very surprised if only 16,630 applicants had submitted their applications out of 47,876 total ITAs. According to the spreadsheet you linked to, the data are preliminary and subject to change, though I'm not sure what changes could be made that would account for the fact that, based on numbers from the past two years, it should be more like two thirds of ITAs result in a submitted application. I guess we'll only know for sure at the end of the year when they release the 2017 EE summary.

In terms of your coment about 2,3 or 4 people per ITA; that may well be the case in individual circumstances, but you may be surprised perhaps that in actual fact, when taking into account the fact that many ITAs do not result in PR (whether through rejection, withdrawn profiles, applications which timed out etc) the actual ratio is around 1.2 landed PRs (including dependents) per ITA. You can work this out simply looking at the EE year end reports which give stats on how many ITAs there were and the total number of landed immigrants.

The 1.2 ITA to PR numbers have held steady since 2014 and I'd be extremely surprised if they change much this year. On the basis of 1.2 PRs per ITA, 47,876 ITAs should equal 57,451 PRs. On this basis, it seems to me that IRCC aren't too far off their desired 2017 quotas: Their 2017 targets are for 122,000 landed PRs through PNP/FSW/FST/CEC (high end being 129,300). 5/12ths of the way through the year they have 57,451. If they keep the exact pace of ITAs going then by the end of the year they will be at 137,882 PRs.

If this is correct, perhaps we may see a slight slowing of the number of ITAs issued, but perhaps if fewer people than normal have been submitting applications following their ITA then perhaps not. I'm expecting that broadly things will stay the same for the next 6 months. I'll be expecting draws of around 3000-4000 candidates every fortnight and for CRS scores to gradually fall to around the 400 mark and settle there.

For the draw which will hopefully come today, I'd be expecting a number somewhere in the low to mid 430s with around 3500 ITAs issued.

 

[GavinSouthAfrica]

I'm not sure about the above data - I would be very surprised if only 16,630 applicants had submitted their applications out of 47,876 total ITAs. According to the spreadsheet you linked to, the data are preliminary and subject to change, though I'm not sure what changes could be made that would account for the fact that, based on numbers from the past two years, it should be more like two thirds of ITAs result in a submitted application. I guess we'll only know for sure at the end of the year when they release the 2017 EE summary.

In terms of your coment about 2,3 or 4 people per ITA; that may well be the case in individual circumstances, but you may be surprised perhaps that in actual fact, when taking into account the fact that many ITAs do not result in PR (whether through rejection, withdrawn profiles, applications which timed out etc) the actual ratio is around 1.2 landed PRs (including dependents) per ITA. You can work this out simply looking at the EE year end reports which give stats on how many ITAs there were and the total number of landed immigrants.

The 1.2 ITA to PR numbers have held steady since 2014 and I'd be extremely surprised if they change much this year. On the basis of 1.2 PRs per ITA, 47,876 ITAs should equal 57,451 PRs. On this basis, it seems to me that IRCC aren't too far off their desired 2017 quotas: Their 2017 targets are for 122,000 landed PRs through PNP/FSW/FST/CEC (high end being 129,300). 5/12ths of the way through the year they have 57,451. If they keep the exact pace of ITAs going then by the end of the year they will be at 137,882 PRs.

If this is correct, perhaps we may see a slight slowing of the number of ITAs issued, but perhaps if fewer people than normal have been submitting applications following their ITA then perhaps not. I'm expecting that broadly things will stay the same for the next 6 months. I'll be expecting draws of around 3000-4000 candidates every fortnight and for CRS scores to gradually fall to around the 400 mark and settle there.

For the draw which will hopefully come today, I'd be expecting a number somewhere in the low to mid 430s with around 3500 ITAs issued.

I'm a bit confused here, I thought the target was to get 300 000 new PR's in 2017 but you said the target it closer to 130 000?

What's the difference between an ITA and PR goal?

 

[Wacky1.nash]

I'm a bit confused here, I thought the target was to get 300 000 new PR's in 2017 but you said the target it closer to 130 000?

What's the difference between an ITA and PR goal?

Just guessing from posts, but is it 130,000 target for PRs via EE, and 300,000 in total through all other means?

 

[GavinSouthAfrica]

Just guessing from posts, but is it 130,000 target for PRs via EE, and 300,000 in total through all other means?

There are other ways?

I was under the impression that EE was the mainstream and largest way in.

 

[samuelja]

So I booked my test (havent paid fees yet) with the hopes that .5 increase in my reading and writing would land my a little above the 400 mark and i'd at least be able to secure a NOI from Ontario......and now this! WTH........and it doesn't help that SINP deemed me ineligible under their EE program coupled with the fact that I lost my brother a few days ago! Ahhh saaaah........when it rains it pours and yet the positive vibes in the thread keeps me hopeful but honestly these days I feel like im fighting a loosing battle..........my emotional battery is critically low where this canadian immigration proce

I am so sorry about what happened at your family end, please keep the faith up and high. Life has its ups and downs, but no one told us it was a cake walk to begin with right? Things will work out for you for sure, just keep up the positivity and move ahead. Wishing you all the very best and for a speedy PPR.

 

[jaybee2]

So I booked my test (havent paid fees yet) with the hopes that .5 increase in my reading and writing would land my a little above the 400 mark and i'd at least be able to secure a NOI from Ontario......and now this! WTH........and it doesn't help that SINP deemed me ineligible under their EE program coupled with the fact that I lost my brother a few days ago! Ahhh saaaah........when it rains it pours and yet the positive vibes in the thread keeps me hopeful but honestly these days I feel like im fighting a loosing battle..........my emotional battery is critically low where this canadian immigration proce

So so sorry about the loss of your brother. With all that's going on with you (emotionally) you probably wouldn't be able to focus and do well in your IELTS test. Just use this time to be with your family and do the test at a later date. Then you might be able to get direct ITA later this year.
What's your current CRS?

 

[Ankv1978]

Helo all

Was checking on net and landed in this forum , really nice to see so many ppl in the same boat. Hopefully things will turn out good for all.

Just a small question. My CRS is 409. I resubmitted profile for Ontario on 7 July. Till date haven't heard anything from them on NOI. is it bcoz the next draw is scheduled for today or tomorrow??
BTW my NOC is 1225.
Any suggestions will be really appreciated.

Cheers and good luck to all for today draw.

This is one case where low cut off score is welcomed by all.

 

[Wacky1.nash]

There are other ways?

I was under the impression that EE was the mainstream and largest way in.

I don't have the facts to be honest. But the other means could be refugees, those applying through marriage...