Ray of Hope 66th Draw

[genzo]

I am with you ....more closely to 445

yes but what about the 67th draw... will it happen one week after the 66th...

 

[gmchinchayan]

For those estimating that the next cutoff will be in the 430+.
Is it common for the month after to dip further less (by increments of 10 or whatsoever) during back to back draws?
Are you guys basing it off the previous stats?

 

[jbourne]

Hello Guys,
I have a question, I am close to getting my US visa expired in Aug ( even in US till now I managed going to college managing on CPT) , I have applied for college in ontario and managed to get an admit, also applied for study permit. Now my question is I have 412 points with masters and related work experience in US. also received NOI from ontario. do you guys think its a wise decision of me going for the study permit route provided there are some potential delays in EE process which are not in our hands ? or give sometime may be till july end, accept the NOI, shed 1500 CAD get the PNP and apply for EE by staying in US ( i can stay may be until end of sept 30 day grace period/ or get an I20) expert advices please.

note that fee for the first term is 10150 CAD= 7500 USD at sheridan college ontario.

 

[genzo]

I have a speculation..... is it possible that the huge gap between 65th and 66th draw is because that CIC found there were not enough people having high CRS in the pool? So they wait until now to make the cut-off not so low...

 

[Option Paralysis]

Wednesday's coming; all aboard the hope train! Destination: 500 pages.

 

[ns082t]

Hope the cut-off will be under 425!!!

My WP will expire at July 22nd.....If I didn't get ITA before that I have to go back to my country and wait for all things done and then come back to work....Noooooooooooo

Did you apply for WP extention?

 

[singh_1984]

Lets make 400 pages ..

 

[genzo]

Did you apply for WP extention?

I couldn't unless I got AOR and applied for BOWP........ Noooooooooooo

 

[Tolan4uk]

if you are saying about ur CRS going up,points remain same for 1 year & upto 3years (25 points) ...points increase only if experience is 3 years or more (50points)...so u are leaving ambiguity there...if u said 2 years 11 months got counted as 3 yrs and your CRS went up by 25 points it'd have made sense...
--
creating EE profile,it asks only month & year...but the fsw EE eligibility calculator,one is required to complete,gives 9 points for 1yr / 11points for 2-3 years /13 &15 for higher experience.
so,if someone answers 1yr 364 days as 2years and qualifies 67 points,and while cic officials scrutinise the corresponding experience letter and finds it is couple of weeks short,it clearly stands out as a misrepresentation....
&
CIC rules are to decline application only if such misrepresentation materially affects the decision...in ur case,you may have had qualifying score (67)even after discounting the points gained for incomplete year...but here in his case,if he's on 67 he may get punished..increasing ielts is his way out..
---

You mentioned that CIC is very strict on counting days...that's false, when its coming to count work experience they take in consideration the whole month even if you worked 1 day in that month, so there is no rules that you have to decline the ITA

 

[Mahnbab1]

Before the Express Entry was introduced, i.e. before this CRS based draws, the applications were processed on a first-come-first-serve basis.
What do I imply?? I wanted to say that CRS doesn't matter, actually. If you are eligible, you will receive an ITA.
If you look at the CRS cut-off trends for the past two years, it will tell you that the total number of active profiles in the pool are decreasing.
A day will come when (maybe in 3-5 years from now) everyone in the pool will get an ITA in every draw, and IRCC's target would still remain un-achieved.

So u mean to say ppl in 350s range will also be invited in a couple of years?

 

[andieangel]

LMAO I'll never forget this picture and this period of waiting.

You will!

 

[singh_1984]

I dont know why ppl are discussing in this page about ielts and other unnecessarry topics..,
This thread only for ppl of points morethan 400 points who are waiting their turn ..
please make other thread for ielts and suggestions from seniors

 

[andieangel]

Next draw could very well be after Canada day. Also expecting the cut off to be more than 460 or 470. I know its depressing , but it could very well be the case.

O brother, I didn't want to say anything but I have to ask 1 thing, where do you come up with this numbers? It has been 4 weeks not months, there is not so manu people above 420 and for changes on June 6the people got 15 points not 50! The maximum it can go up is for 10 points cut off ergo 423 max!

 

[andieangel]

So u mean to say ppl in 350s range will also be invited in a couple of years?

Yes! Or CIC will make another change and everyone will get their chance! Who knows what will happen by end of this year, let alone next year! They are making new rules every year!

 

[jbourne]

O brother, I didn't want to say anything but I have to ask 1 thing, where do you come up with this numbers? It has been 4 weeks not months, there is not so manu people above 420 and for changes on June 6the people got 15 points not 50! The maximum it can go up is for 10 points cut off ergo 423 max!

sounds legit, even I think the same with the top cream getting ITA, the score should drop further given that draws happen.