Supposing a renunciation rate of 30-35%, i think we still have at least 27000 ITA to be released.
This means other 10 draws like the last one, in the next 4 months. So there will be other back to back draws, because it doesn't make any sense to keep the CRS score so high (considering that in 2018 there will be more immigration request).
As you can see (in the category 421-430, between 17 and 30 august) we passed from 2468 to 2692; this means just 16 more people each day.
If next week we have a back to back draw, ITAs 2700-2800 then the cut can fall to 425.
I really hope to be right because i'm sitting at 425.....