So, still no 1500 CEC draw but there's still about an hour left so it might be too early to talk. IRCC dropped down to 4500 with CECs.
Admission targets and ITAs are two different things but I'd guess the rejection rate for CEC apps is quite low, assume 15-20 percent at most. These gaps would be filled with FSWs from 2020 and 2021. 20% of 108000 is about 21000. We know the 23000 FSW CoPRs can now enter Canada since all CoPRs are essential travellers. But this is just barely hitting the target. I'd expect IRCC to issue at least 10000 FSW PPRs this year on top of the 23000 FSW CoPRs because nobody can guarantee all of those 23000 people will enter Canada before 2021 ends. So it'd be in IRCC's interest to issue at least 20000 FSW PPRs (on top of the 23000) before this year ends. Quite a many FSW apps should get PPRs in 2021.
Back to the figure, two more CEC draws in August, 4500 each again, that's just above the 108500 target. After that, there's no benefit in continuing with CEC draws as we spoke before. This also tells us the same thing: August might be a good surprise but September is definitely FSW's month.
So I think all FSW candidates should take August off for vacation because they'll be busy collecting their papers in September.