Ray of Hope - 81st Draw

[seeramzan]

H1B issue is not longer a concern. Please check today's news. It was hyped too much in last week. I mentioned earlier in this thread as well. Such a rule cannot be imposed. no companies will accept. So i think US citizen migrating is canada is also not possible. Why should they ?

That's great then, it means we will have lower CRS very soon ,

 

[TanakaM]

Wake up everyone it's draw day. Pack your bags, we moving to ROH 82.

 

[TanakaM]

Do they put up the crs candidates distribution list before or after the draw?

Its posted up at the same time, but it shows the status of the pool a few days before the draw.

I hope that makes sense.

 

[Sidish]

Its posted up at the same time, but it shows the status of the pool a few days before the draw.

I hope that makes sense.

So where do you get to see the status of the pool ? Could you paste the link please ?

 

[canadreamer]

The break up of candidates in the pool, per scores, is generally posted here

So where do you get to see the status of the pool ? Could you paste the link please ?

 

[Sidish]

The break up of candidates in the pool, per scores, is generally posted here

Thank you !

 

[trikings2000]

Permutations
Note that this are just assumptions based on interpolation of a highly volatile data.
So it is highly speculative and no one should come at me with their anger if they miss out.

As of this morning I expect the pool to look like this.
601 - 1200 580
451 - 600 2,447
441 - 450 1,240

Based on this interpolated pool data, I expect lowest CRS to be as follow.

2750 ITAs --- 454 +/- 2
3000+ ITAs-- 451 +/- 2

I believe the data for 600 and above is too volatile to project correctly to any reasonable level of error, due to the fact that it is mostly dependent on number of PNP that entered the pool. If the number is significantly lower than that, then we can see everyone above 450 get ITA tomorrow.

Enjoy.

Nice one bro

 

[TanakaM]

So where do you get to see the status of the pool ? Could you paste the link please ?

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...ntry/become-candidate/rounds-invitations.html

 

[Dolarosa]

@abhishek_89, any prediction for us today?

 

[Abhishek.s1990]

601-1200 420
451-600 1,211
401-450 18,930
441-450 1,260
431-440 3,452
421-430 4,013
411-420 4,639
401-410 5,566

This was the data for 18th December , 2 days before the draw in which around 2700 candidates got ITA for a cut off of 446 . If these stats are correct then the total no of candidates 441 and above are 2891 of which 2700 got ITA which leaves roughly around 100 candidates in that range .


Since fresh people have not yet been added to the pool it is safe to say that the cut off will be somewhere around 437 (+-2). . Considering that in every draw they invite 2500 people at least . So the ones in the range of 431- 440 still stand a chance I guess .

Correct me if I am wrong..

 

[Anitbiotic]

ROH-82 today?

 

[Aryaansohaali]

601-1200 420
451-600 1,211
401-450 18,930
441-450 1,260
431-440 3,452
421-430 4,013
411-420 4,639
401-410 5,566

This was the data for 18th December , 2 days before the draw in which around 2700 candidates got ITA for a cut off of 446 . If these stats are correct then the total no of candidates 441 and above are 2891 of which 2700 got ITA which leaves roughly around 100 candidates in that range .


Since fresh people have not yet been added to the pool it is safe to say that the cut off will be somewhere around 437 (+-2). . Considering that in every draw they invite 2500 people at least . So the ones in the range of 431- 440 still stand a chance I guess .

Correct me if I am wrong..

These figures only show applicants in the pool till 18 December. So everyone who entered into the pool from 18 dec- 10 jan will become part of the pool. Looking at last few months average if we get around 3000 ITAs CRS in unlikely to be lower than 450 for todays draw.

 

[Sidish]

What suggests you that

601-1200 420
451-600 1,211
401-450 18,930
441-450 1,260
431-440 3,452
421-430 4,013
411-420 4,639
401-410 5,566

This was the data for 18th December , 2 days before the draw in which around 2700 candidates got ITA for a cut off of 446 . If these stats are correct then the total no of candidates 441 and above are 2891 of which 2700 got ITA which leaves roughly around 100 candidates in that range .


Since fresh people have not yet been added to the pool it is safe to say that the cut off will be somewhere around 437 (+-2). . Considering that in every draw they invite 2500 people at least . So the ones in the range of 431- 440 still stand a chance I guess .

Correct me if I am wrong..

What suggests you that no new fresh people are added in the pool ?

 

[Jakilee]

601-1200 420
451-600 1,211
401-450 18,930
441-450 1,260
431-440 3,452
421-430 4,013
411-420 4,639
401-410 5,566

This was the data for 18th December , 2 days before the draw in which around 2700 candidates got ITA for a cut off of 446 . If these stats are correct then the total no of candidates 441 and above are 2891 of which 2700 got ITA which leaves roughly around 100 candidates in that range .


Since fresh people have not yet been added to the pool it is safe to say that the cut off will be somewhere around 437 (+-2). . Considering that in every draw they invite 2500 people at least . So the ones in the range of 431- 440 still stand a chance I guess .

Correct me if I am wrong..

Wishful thinking, after 20th December

1) Two set of IELTS were released
2) People delayed by ECA had 12 workings days of new ECAs being issued.

So the only thing is people entering the pool per day may be lower but people are definitely entering the pool.

 

[Raz0r]

ROH-82 today?

Hopefully a good draw is waiting to happen today, keep your fingers crossed. Good luck.